Mainz 05 II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
SPO
3 - 3
MAI
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MAI
2 - 0
VFR
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FSV
1 - 2
MAI
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MAI
3 - 2
HAL
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SGS
2 - 1
MAI
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
KÖL
0 - 3
MSV
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
OSN
1 - 2
KÖL
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
KÖL
0 - 1
PAD
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ZWI
2 - 1
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
PRE
4 - 2
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |