Mainz 05 II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
MAI
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAI
0 - 3
BOR
17%
21%
61%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
KAI
2 - 0
MAI
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
S04
1 - 1
MAI
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
MAI
3 - 0
IDA
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
EIN
1 - 0
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
KÖL
3 - 0
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 1
KÖL
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
KÖL
2 - 1
SPO
30%
27%
44%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
KÖL
2 - 1
S04
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |