Mainz 05 II vs SV Elversberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 0
MAI
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MAI
3 - 1
KÖL
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
MAI
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAI
0 - 3
BOR
17%
21%
61%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
KAI
2 - 0
MAI
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SV Elversberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ELV
2 - 1
KÖL
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
ELV
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
ELV
1 - 2
BOR
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
S04
4 - 0
ELV
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
ELV
1 - 1
WUP
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |