Mainz 05 II vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ABI
0 - 4
MAI
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
MAI
0 - 2
EIN
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PRE
2 - 1
MAI
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 2
WUP
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
KAI
0 - 1
MAI
59%
23%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
BOR
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 0
DIE
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 1
ABI
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
EIN
2 - 0
BOR
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
VER
2 - 0
BOR
24%
23%
52%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |