Mainz 05 II vs VfL Bochum II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MAI
2 - 0
S04
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 1
MAI
53%
23%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MAI
2 - 0
BOR
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
MAI
3 - 1
OGG
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
ELV
3 - 0
MAI
54%
24%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Bochum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
BOC
0 - 1
DIE
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
PRE
1 - 2
BOC
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
CLO
4 - 2
BOC
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
EIN
3 - 2
BOC
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
VER
1 - 1
BOC
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |