Mainz 05 II vs Arminia Bielefeld II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
EIN
2 - 2
MAI
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
MAI
1 - 2
PRE
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
MAI
0 - 0
KAI
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
WUP
2 - 0
MAI
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
VER
0 - 2
MAI
48%
26%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ABI
1 - 5
BOR
21%
22%
56%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
ABI
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ABI
1 - 3
EIN
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
ABI
0 - 1
PRE
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
WUP
1 - 1
ABI
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |