Mahon UD vs Penya Ciutadella U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
7º
6º
35
13º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mahon UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
MAH
5 - 3
IBI
52%
21%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FER
1 - 2
MAH
44%
23%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 4
MAH
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MAH
3 - 0
MAN
23%
23%
55%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PLM
3 - 2
MAH
45%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Ciutadella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
IBI
1 - 2
PEN
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
MAN
18%
23%
59%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
AND
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 4
CPA
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
POB
3 - 0
PEN
57%
20%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |