Magpies Crusaders FC vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.8%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
84.9%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.7%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.6%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
8.1%
0-6
3%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magpies Crusaders FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
RED
1 - 1
MAG
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAG
2 - 5
SUN
5%
10%
85%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LOG
1 - 1
MAG
88%
8%
4%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MAG
0 - 3
CAP
12%
15%
73%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
MAG
0 - 4
MOR
7%
12%
80%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SUN
0 - 2
QUE
26%
22%
52%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
QUE
6 - 0
EAS
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 3
QUE
62%
20%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
QUE
5 - 0
CAP
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
RED
1 - 5
QUE
9%
14%
78%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |