Magpies Crusaders FC vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.8%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
84.8%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
18.8%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.3%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.8%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.8%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magpies Crusaders FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MAG
3 - 2
SUN
76%
14%
11%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
NOF
2 - 1
MAG
75%
14%
11%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MAG
2 - 6
OLY
7%
11%
82%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
OLY
1 - 0
QUE
28%
21%
51%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
QUE
2 - 0
BRI
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 2
QUE
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
QUE
3 - 0
IPS
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 1
QUE
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |