Magpies Crusaders FC vs Mackay Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magpies Crusaders FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BRI
4 - 3
MAG
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
FNQ
0 - 1
MAG
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MAG
5 - 3
RED
10%
14%
76%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BRR
1 - 0
MAG
83%
11%
7%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
4 - 1
MAG
91%
7%
2%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Mackay Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
MLI
6 - 1
MWA
31%
21%
48%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
MWA
5 - 0
MMA
43%
21%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MWA
1 - 10
MFP
26%
21%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 1
MCB
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |