Magnisiakos vs Zakynthos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
13º
18º
18º
55
4º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 76 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 52 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 50 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 10 |
17º
|
99% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 2 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magnisiakos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MGN
0 - 2
NEA
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
THE
2 - 0
MGN
88%
9%
4%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MGN
0 - 1
AEL
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 0
MGN
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
POF
3 - 0
MGN
87%
10%
4%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Zakynthos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
ZAK
1 - 0
PAS
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AGN
1 - 0
ZAK
28%
25%
48%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ZAK
1 - 1
KIL
74%
16%
11%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NEA
1 - 0
ZAK
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ZAK
4 - 3
THE
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |