Magnisiakos vs Asteras Stavros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
75.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
13º
18º
18º
52
3º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 76 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 52 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 50 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 10 |
17º
|
99% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 2 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magnisiakos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 0
MGN
78%
15%
7%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
MGN
0 - 3
VAT
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GAS
3 - 0
MGN
85%
11%
5%
|
7 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MGN
0 - 3
EOR
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
KAS
3 - 0
MGN
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Asteras Stavros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ASS
3 - 2
PAS
56%
21%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
AGN
1 - 0
ASS
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 0
ASS
22%
21%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ASS
2 - 0
NEA
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
THE
1 - 2
ASS
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |