Magesi vs Pretoria University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
14º
12º
39
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UTH
1 - 0
MAG
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 1
TTM
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 1
CST
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
JDR
6 - 0
MAG
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 2
AJA
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 0
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
JDR
0 - 2
PRE
37%
28%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PCF
0 - 1
PRE
29%
29%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
PRE
3 - 2
AJA
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UTH
0 - 0
PRE
24%
29%
47%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |