Magenta vs Vigevano Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VER
0 - 3
MAG
62%
19%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VER
3 - 2
MAG
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MAG
0 - 2
LEG
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
4 - 1
MAG
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MAG
1 - 2
TRE
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vigevano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VIG
2 - 2
ASS
81%
14%
6%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VIG
2 - 1
VER
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 21 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VIG
1 - 1
VIG
11%
19%
70%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VER
2 - 1
VIG
14%
21%
66%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 2
FEN
76%
16%
9%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | -1 |