Magenta vs Ardor Lazzate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TRE
0 - 0
MAG
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAG
3 - 1
ACC
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SOL
0 - 1
MAG
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAG
0 - 0
ASS
24%
23%
54%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VIG
3 - 1
MAG
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ardor Lazzate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 0
ARD
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARD
3 - 2
VIG
46%
23%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FEN
0 - 0
ARD
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARD
0 - 3
BUS
17%
23%
60%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 1
VIG
12%
19%
69%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | +1 |