Mageense vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
63.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mageense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
CEC
5 - 3
MAG
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 4
NFC
39%
22%
39%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
MAG
45%
23%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 0
ZFC
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +4 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
CGA
3 - 0
MAG
64%
20%
16%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
SER
1 - 3
NFC
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ZFC
0 - 0
SER
32%
22%
46%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
SER
3 - 0
RIO
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
CIG
0 - 0
SER
22%
20%
57%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
SER
1 - 0
RDJ
37%
23%
41%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |