Mageense vs Céres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
61.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mageense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
MAG
24%
20%
56%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 2
BAR
16%
19%
64%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 2
BON
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
GOY
1 - 0
MAG
68%
19%
14%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ADC
1 - 0
MAG
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
CER
1 - 1
BON
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CER
0 - 3
CAA
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
CMA
2 - 0
CER
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CER
0 - 3
CMA
18%
22%
61%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
0 - 0
CER
42%
23%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |