Mageense vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
64.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mageense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
CAA
3 - 2
MAG
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAG
1 - 1
CER
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TIG
2 - 0
MAG
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 2
MAG
61%
19%
20%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAG
4 - 1
QUE
21%
19%
60%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
BON
5 - 0
QUE
64%
23%
14%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BON
0 - 1
BAR
43%
27%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
ADB
2 - 2
BON
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BON
0 - 0
BAR
63%
23%
14%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
4 - 1
BON
24%
23%
54%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -3 |