Magdeburg vs Paderborn analysis

Magdeburg Paderborn
71 ELO 76
-6.3% Tilt 30.4%
315º General ELO ranking 186º
30º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
27.4%
Magdeburg
25.4%
Draw
47.2%
Paderborn

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
Magdeburg
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.2%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Magdeburg
+1%
+3%
Paderborn

Points and table prediction

Magdeburg
Their league position
Paderborn
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
11º
18º
11º
55
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Darmstadt 98
67
67
100%
Hamburger SV
66
66
100%
Heidenheim
65
65
100%
FC St Pauli
58
58
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
58
58
100%
Paderborn
55
55
100%
Karlsruher SC
46
46
0%
Holstein Kiel
46
46
0%
Kaiserslautern
45
45
100%
Hannover 96
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Magdeburg
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Greuther Fürth
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Hansa Rostock
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Nürnberg
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Eintracht Braunschweig
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Arminia Bielefeld
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Jahn Regensburg
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Sandhausen
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Magdeburg
Paderborn
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Magdeburg
Paderborn
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Magdeburg
Magdeburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2023
MAG
Magdeburg
2 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
32%
27%
42%
69 74 5 0
26 Feb. 2023
HAN
Hannover 96
1 - 2
Magdeburg
MAG
40%
26%
35%
69 71 2 0
18 Feb. 2023
MAG
Magdeburg
1 - 2
FC St Pauli
STP
27%
25%
48%
69 74 5 0
11 Feb. 2023
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 3
Magdeburg
MAG
48%
24%
28%
68 73 5 +1
05 Feb. 2023
MAG
Magdeburg
1 - 1
Karlsruher SC
KSC
38%
26%
35%
68 68 0 0

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2023
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 2
FC St Pauli
STP
42%
24%
34%
76 75 1 0
25 Feb. 2023
HOL
Holstein Kiel
1 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
34%
25%
40%
76 73 3 0
17 Feb. 2023
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
51%
24%
25%
75 73 2 +1
11 Feb. 2023
HAN
Hannover 96
3 - 4
Paderborn
PAD
29%
26%
45%
75 71 4 0
03 Feb. 2023
PAD
Paderborn
4 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
43%
25%
32%
74 75 1 +1