Magallanes vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
MAG
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MAG
0 - 1
SWA
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
COB
1 - 0
MAG
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 0
IQU
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
MAG
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
MAG
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FVC
2 - 3
UCO
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
UCO
3 - 0
DCO
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 4
UCO
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
MAG
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |