Magallanes vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
COB
2 - 1
MAG
43%
26%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MAG
1 - 1
BAR
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
MAG
2 - 2
IQU
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
CSD
1 - 1
MAG
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
MAG
3 - 0
PUE
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 1
IQU
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DEP
2 - 2
UCO
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 0
PUE
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 1
COQ
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |