Magallanes vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2000 |
USF
2 - 1
MAG
61%
22%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
DLS
2 - 2
MAG
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
MAG
2 - 0
OVA
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
USF
3 - 1
MAG
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
MAG
3 - 1
DLS
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 2
ANT
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 2
DEP
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 0
NTA
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
1 - 0
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
DEP
1 - 0
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |