Mafra vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 2
MAF
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAF
3 - 2
CAS
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
MAF
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SER
0 - 1
MAF
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 1
FAT
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 1
1DE
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
UDL
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
UDL
4 - 0
QUA
77%
17%
7%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 0
FAR
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
UDL
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |