Mafra vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FAT
3 - 3
MAF
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 0
ORI
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAF
0 - 0
1DE
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 4
MAF
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MAF
1 - 0
QUA
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
1DE
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
SER
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
QUA
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 0
SER
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
TOR
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |