Mafra vs Belenenses SAD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
BEN
3 - 2
MAF
66%
19%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAF
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MAF
2 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
MAF
75%
16%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
MAF
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
FCP
4 - 0
BEL
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 2
SAN
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
TON
1 - 3
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |