Mafra vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
19.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
OLE
0 - 1
MAF
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 0
CAR
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAF
30%
28%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 1
VIL
74%
17%
8%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 0
MAF
34%
30%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 2
CAL
29%
27%
45%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
PRA
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |