Mafra U23 vs Sporting CP U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
50.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
7º
14º
14º
21
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MAF
62%
22%
17%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 3
EST
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 2
POR
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 4
MAF
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAF
18%
19%
62%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 2
SPO
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPO
16%
18%
66%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 0
BES
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 5
SPO
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
EST
36%
25%
40%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |