Mafra U23 vs Sporting CP U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
43.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
8º
8º
29
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
31 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
MAF
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 2
GIL
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
LEX
1 - 0
MAF
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 3
LEX
36%
23%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
FAR
0 - 2
MAF
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
GIL
1 - 2
SPO
73%
17%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 1
FAR
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
SPO
44%
24%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 2
POR
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LEX
1 - 1
SPO
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |