Mafra U23 vs Sporting CP U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
12º
10º
11
8º
11º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
MAF
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
MAF
0 - 1
BES
11%
18%
71%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
MAF
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 1
MAF
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MAF
2 - 3
POR
30%
22%
49%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 3
FAR
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
POR
3 - 2
SPO
72%
17%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
4 - 2
BES
8%
17%
76%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
EST
5 - 1
SPO
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
SPO
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |