Mafra U23 vs Braga U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
7º
5º
30
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
MAF
2 - 0
RIO
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
POR
1 - 1
MAF
46%
22%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
MAF
1 - 2
LEX
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAF
41%
22%
37%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
MAF
1 - 2
ACV
34%
26%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Braga U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 1
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
3 - 2
BRA
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
BRA
1 - 0
FAR
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 1
BRA
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
3 - 0
LEX
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |