Mafra U23 vs Portimonense U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
7º
5º
24
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
MAF
3 - 1
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
ACV
0 - 1
MAF
59%
22%
20%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
LEX
3 - 0
MAF
31%
23%
46%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
FAR
0 - 1
MAF
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
MAF
1 - 2
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Portimonense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 0
POR
44%
22%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
POR
0 - 0
FAR
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
RIO
2 - 1
POR
32%
24%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
POR
3 - 3
LEX
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
ACV
0 - 1
POR
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |