Mafra U23 vs Farense U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
50.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
8º
7º
20
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
MAF
74%
15%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
3 - 0
MAF
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 2
LEX
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
4 - 2
MAF
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MAF
0 - 1
ACV
49%
22%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Farense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
LEX
1 - 2
FAR
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
6 - 2
FAR
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 0
ACV
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
6 - 1
FAR
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
2 - 0
FAR
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |