Maesteg Park vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maesteg Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 3
MAE
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
ABE
0 - 0
MAE
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
MAE
0 - 1
PON
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
MAE
2 - 1
NEA
23%
24%
54%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
MAE
1 - 0
ERA
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CAR
4 - 2
DIN
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 2
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ABE
2 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
LID
3 - 2
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |