Madureira RJ vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
68.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
MAD
4 - 2
CAB
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VAS
4 - 1
MAD
77%
17%
7%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 2
POR
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
AUD
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PET
1 - 0
MAD
31%
24%
44%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
FLU
4 - 0
BON
85%
12%
3%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VOL
3 - 1
FLU
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 1
ATP
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 1
SCI
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 1
FLU
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |