Madureira RJ vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
68.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FRI
1 - 1
MAD
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
3 - 1
BOA
29%
23%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 1
BAN
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 2
CRI
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 0
MAD
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
54%
23%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 1
FLU
24%
25%
52%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BON
0 - 2
FLU
10%
19%
71%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 3
MAC
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
ZAM
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |