Madureira RJ vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
72.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 3
MAD
48%
27%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
MAD
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 1
GOY
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
MAD
36%
29%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 0
RES
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
BOT
54%
26%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
PPE
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 2
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |