Madureira RJ vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
64.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OLA
1 - 0
MAD
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 2
MAD
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MAD
2 - 3
BAN
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
DUQ
0 - 1
MAD
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 2
AUD
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BOT
4 - 0
QUI
88%
10%
3%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 1
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 2
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 2
BOA
84%
12%
5%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |