Madureira RJ vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
63.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BON
3 - 1
MAD
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
MAC
40%
24%
37%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 0
BRA
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
IFC
2 - 0
MAD
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MAD
1 - 0
MAR
32%
26%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
RES
86%
10%
4%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ATM
4 - 0
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 2
SCI
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |