Madrigueras UD vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madrigueras UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
IND
6 - 1
MAD
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
MAD
3 - 2
AGU
57%
21%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
MON
2 - 0
MAD
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ORI
1 - 0
MAD
77%
13%
10%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
MAD
4 - 0
ALM
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
NOV
0 - 2
LOR
43%
24%
32%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
ELD
1 - 0
NOV
90%
7%
3%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 3
CAL
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 3
ALM
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
ALI
3 - 3
NOV
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |