Madrepietra Daunia vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madrepietra Daunia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PIC
2 - 1
MDC
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MDC
3 - 2
CSV
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MDC
0 - 3
BIS
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
NOC
3 - 1
MDC
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
MDC
44%
22%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 0
POL
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
AGR
1 - 0
GEL
22%
25%
54%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
ANZ
1 - 1
GEL
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GEL
2 - 1
AVH
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
RPO
2 - 3
GEL
39%
26%
34%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |