Madalena vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
AST
1 - 3
MAD
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MAD
3 - 0
URR
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TIN
0 - 2
MAD
30%
25%
46%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
NAV
0 - 1
MAD
25%
25%
50%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MAD
3 - 0
AST
68%
18%
13%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
UCO
0 - 0
RIB
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
UCO
4 - 1
AST
34%
23%
44%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
URR
1 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
TIN
1 - 0
UCO
47%
25%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
UCO
2 - 2
NAV
47%
25%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |