Madalena vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 4
MAD
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 2
LEN
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CLA
1 - 0
MAD
39%
24%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 1
MAD
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 0
CAN
54%
22%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 0
LUA
36%
24%
40%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ESM
1 - 0
UCO
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 1
CAM
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 0
RAY
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TIN
1 - 0
UCO
70%
18%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |