Madalena vs Navarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAD
3 - 0
FRE
57%
21%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LUA
1 - 1
MAD
37%
25%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 2
ESM
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAM
3 - 1
MAD
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAD
5 - 2
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
4 - 0
LUA
44%
26%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ESM
2 - 0
NAV
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
CAM
44%
26%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
0 - 1
NAV
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 1
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |