Madalena vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ESM
2 - 1
MAD
59%
21%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAD
2 - 2
CAM
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
1 - 2
MAD
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAD
0 - 1
VAL
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 1
MAD
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 2
LUA
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LUA
1 - 2
ESM
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 2
LUA
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LUA
3 - 0
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 3
LUA
51%
24%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |