Madagascar vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 2
MAD
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
UGA
1 - 0
MAD
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 1
UGA
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CPV
3 - 1
MAD
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 4
CPV
22%
27%
52%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2015 |
TAN
0 - 1
SWZ
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TAN
1 - 1
MWI
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SWZ
1 - 1
TAN
20%
25%
56%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
TAN
4 - 1
BEN
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BDI
2 - 0
TAN
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -2 |