Madagascar vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1993 |
MAD
2 - 1
MUS
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1993 |
ZAM
3 - 1
MAD
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
NAM
0 - 1
MAD
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
MAD
2 - 0
ZAM
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
MAD
3 - 0
NAM
62%
20%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1992 |
UGA
5 - 2
SYC
86%
11%
4%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1992 |
KEN
2 - 1
SYC
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1990 |
MAD
6 - 0
SYC
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
MUS
2 - 0
SYC
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1988 |
SYC
1 - 0
MUS
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |