Madagascar vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
SDN
0 - 3
MAD
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
MAD
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | +3 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAD
2 - 1
GHA
14%
24%
62%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
MAD
3 - 1
BEN
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 1
BOT
41%
27%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
ALG
7%
18%
75%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
MOZ
3 - 2
LBY
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
MOZ
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
RSA
2 - 1
MOZ
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 0
MWI
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |