Madagascar vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
MAD
0 - 3
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
MAD
2 - 2
COD
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
MAD
2 - 0
NGA
14%
24%
62%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | +3 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
MAD
1 - 0
BDI
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 2
MAD
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2019 |
MOZ
1 - 1
MWI
38%
29%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
SYC
0 - 0
MOZ
14%
21%
65%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MOZ
1 - 2
NAM
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GNB
2 - 2
MOZ
23%
21%
56%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MOZ
1 - 0
ZAM
17%
24%
60%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |