Madagascar vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
XXK
1 - 0
MAD
56%
21%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
TOG
0 - 0
MAD
37%
26%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 0
MAD
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
MAD
0 - 0
ANG
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
MOZ
0 - 2
MAD
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 1
KEN
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
MOZ
0 - 2
MAD
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
MAD
2 - 2
MOZ
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 4
MAD
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
SYC
1 - 2
MOZ
11%
20%
69%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |