African Nations Championship 1/16
Global 4-2
Madagascar vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 4
MAD
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
ZIM
0 - 0
MAD
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
MAD
2 - 0
SYC
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SDN
1 - 3
MAD
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MWI
0 - 1
MAD
47%
25%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 4
MAD
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
SYC
1 - 2
MOZ
11%
20%
69%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
MOZ
0 - 4
ZIM
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MOZ
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 0
LSO
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |